From Trump's new threat to new movements in the Strait of Hormuz, what is the story of the possible attack before the American elections?

Donald Trump's new threats against Iran, the Reuters report about the change in naval tactics and developments related to the Strait of Hormuz have once again put the tension between Tehran and Washington in the spotlight. At the same time, reports have been published about an attack on Aramco-related buildings in Saudi Arabia and conflicting accounts about the possibility of a new attack on Iran; Developments that affect the regional security perspective and the energy market.

Ambassador Arjan - Political Group: The developments of the Iran-US war have once again been accompanied by a series of political threats, security reports and military movements in the region. US President Donald Trump spoke in a threatening tone about Washington's possible actions against Tehran, and at the same time, Reuters quoted two senior Iranian officials as announcing a change in Iran's naval tactics in the Strait of Hormuz.

Meanwhile, the publication of reports about the possibility of a new attack on Iran before the mid-term elections of the United States has led to different reactions. Axios, quoting an Israeli official, presented a different account of the conversation between Benjamin Netanyahu and Trump, and a White House official also misread the published information about the possibility of an attack before the elections.

On the other hand, the reports about the attack on the buildings related to Aramco in Saudi Arabia, the statements of the commander of the IRGC Navy about the presence of American ships in the region and the diplomatic consultation between Tehran and Muscat have highlighted the different dimensions of this crisis.

In his latest statements about Iran, Donald Trump has spoken about the growing dissatisfaction and the end of the American government's patience and has threatened that Washington will take stricter measures against Tehran.

The American president has claimed that Iran should not get nuclear weapons and that the country's nuclear facilities are buried under a large amount of debris. Trump has also threatened to wait and see what America will do.

These statements have been made in a situation where reports have been published about the possibility of the US attacking Iran again before the mid-term congressional elections. An issue that has become one of the focal points of the Trump administration's foreign policy.

However, in an interview with Al Jazeera, a White House official considered the information published about the possibility of the US attack on Iran before the elections to be incorrect. Therefore, despite Washington's increasing threatening tone, the published reports alone do not mean a definitive decision to start new military operations.

Reuters, citing two senior Iranian officials, reported that Tehran is using new tactics to deal with ships that Iran deems to be violating restrictions on passage through the Strait of Hormuz.

According to this report, the mentioned changes include both the type of attacks and their speed and frequency. Two Iranian officials who spoke to Reuters have claimed that this approach is aimed at maintaining Iran's pressure on the United States and preventing global oil prices from falling.

In another part of the report, an American military official reported on Iran's use of unarmed lookouts in small boats to identify possible targets. According to this official, American forces encountered a vessel last week, which was used to identify targets and transmit information, and then destroyed it. He said that no one was killed or injured in this incident.

Reuters has also reported several incidents involving commercial vessels in the Strait of Hormuz in the past 48 hours, citing data from maritime security sources and reports filed with the British Maritime Trade Operations Organization. In this report, the possibility of expanding the geographical range of attacks to areas beyond the Strait of Hormuz is also raised; A claim whose details must be independently investigated.

The importance of these developments goes back to the position of the Strait of Hormuz in the energy market. Any sustained disruption in the passage of ships can increase the cost of transportation and marine insurance and affect the supply of oil and gas in the global markets.

According to this account, Trump asked Netanyahu whether Israel would participate in such an attack. This report contradicts the initial narrative that told of Netanyahu's desire to resume attacks against Iran before the elections.

However, the information released about these talks is based on quotes from knowledgeable sources, and no independent details about the full content of the talks have yet been provided. The statement of the White House official about the falseness of the reports about the possibility of an attack before the elections also added to the existing uncertainties.

Following the developments in the region, media such as Bloomberg and Al Arabiya have published reports about the targeting of a building related to the Aramco oil company in Dhahran, Saudi Arabia. Bloomberg, citing informed people, claimed that the attack on Tuesday led to a fire in a part of the building complex and the fire was contained.

On the other hand, a source in the Saudi Ministry of Energy, quoted by Al Arabiya, reported that an office building belonging to Aramco was targeted and said that no one was injured in this incident. The exact details of the damages and the cause of the fire have not been independently clarified, according to the published information.

At the same time, Rear Admiral Uzmaei, commander of the IRGC Navy, announced that an American warship has moved away from the Strait of Hormuz and that Iranian forces are ready to deal with vessels they consider to be violators.

In the field of diplomacy, Iran's Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi discussed with Oman's Foreign Minister Badr Albusaidi about regional developments, including the situation in Yemen and ways to achieve peace and stability.

All these developments show that the crisis in the region is not only limited to the direct threats of Tehran and Washington and also includes shipping security, energy infrastructure, Israel's positions and the diplomatic efforts of the countries in the region. In the current situation, the continuation of tension in the Strait of Hormuz and the lack of clarity about Washington's final decision about the next step are among the most important factors that can affect the path of military developments and the energy market.

The ambiguous atmosphere after the annual meeting of the General Assembly has once again turned the possibility of the return of war between Iran, America and Israel into one of the serious scenarios of the region; But the experience of the 40-day war showed that calculating the time of attack does not mean controlling the war. The regionalization of the conflict, Hormuz and unpredictable costs have complicated the US-Israeli equation.

The developments of the Iran-US war have entered a new phase of diplomatic consultations at the same time as tensions continue in the Strait of Hormuz. Tehran has announced that it has received America's response to the seven-day plan, and China has also demanded the resumption of negotiations and the implementation of the Islamabad Memorandum; Meanwhile, there have been reports of three ships being targeted in the Strait of Hormuz.

The latest developments in the Iran-US war are from the continuation of diplomatic consultations and disagreements over the terms of the agreement to military warnings and developments in the Strait of Hormuz. While Tehran is waiting to receive Washington's response to its proposal, the statements of American officials, the positions of mediators and regional movements have left the prospect of negotiations in an aura of uncertainty.