the most complicated scene; Why doesn't anyone in Washington know exactly what they want?

What stands out above all else after reviewing the reports and statements of Western officials today is one word: complexity.

In all the past months, I don't remember the scene being so difficult, ambiguous and confusing. But this is not our inability to analyze; The problem is that the enemy himself does not know what he is doing.

In data analysis, there are two categories of questions: some are "puzzles"; It means that the enemy knows their answer and we must discover that answer. But most of the questions are "ambiguous"; Questions that even the enemy does not know the answer to. The question about Iran is exactly an ambiguity; And perhaps the most important uncertainty that the American national security community is dealing with today.

The issue of Iran is the number one issue of those who manage Netanyahu and they will not stop this issue. Nor can we call this war over until we fully restore our deterrence. We work for it day and night, even if we don't talk about it outside.

The intensity of the warnings has grown significantly and all our sources have reached a complete consensus that there is a threat ahead. The time period until the eve of the regime elections will be very sensitive and something can happen at any moment.

Trump has fully realized that the war with Iran, the closing of the Strait of Hormuz, and the failure to achieve the goals of the war have become the most important factors in his defeat in the American domestic politics scene. If this trend continues, his cases will be brought up every day, the questioning and impeachment projects will be keyed, his family will be under pressure - the contracts of more than 20 billion dollars of the Trump family will be under the microscope.

Something important has happened inside the US deep government: they feel they cannot leave Iran like this. The world's largest army attacked Iran, failed to achieve all goals, and Iran controls the Strait of Hormuz. If Iran is left with this situation, what will America say later? How to defend his dignity? This will weaken the roots of the petrodollar project and America will no longer be the guardian of the world's waterways.

Netanyahu's main goal is to develop the conflict so that a rocket hits the middle of Israel and the elections are delayed. The Israeli regime is not satisfied with anything less than subversive operations, starting a new era of terror, hitting Iran's missile program and creating armed chaos.

Netanyahu's heavy focus on Iran's "possible pre-emptive operation" is an attempt to justify the operation they want to carry out. Inside Israel, missile defense systems are being moved, shelters have been opened. These indicate the proximity of the moment when the operation may occur.

The enemy observes two things to make a decision: Iran's will to fire and social resilience in Iran.

There is no doubt about the will to fire that this time a different fire will be made; A shot that history will remember. On social resilience, they look at squares. If someone's heart beats for Iran, he should not fail to be in the field.

A decision has been made, this decision has strong opponents, time is short and they must conclude. It is possible that the major conflict will take place in the winter and what we are seeing now is a prelude to something bigger. Don't look short-term. This war should be considered long.