In case of Trump's evil, what idea does Iran follow?

US President Donald Trump feels that the arsenal he has in hand allows him to have an open hand against Iran in climbing the "ladder of tension".

According to the report of Ambassador Arjan, Farhikhtegan newspaper wrote: US President Donald Trump feels that the arsenal he has in his hand allows him to have an open hand in front of Iran in climbing the "ladder of tension" and finally force Tehran to surrender by threatening or acting on it. In this context, he hopes for non-conventional weapons, heavy minesweeping bombs or the mass use of non-conventional weapons. The reality is a bit more complicated. The truth is that Iran's weapons, options and goals are not limited. If America has not done many measures that it could have done, the problem is the same for Iran.

Tehran has not completely changed its nuclear doctrine, has not unveiled its special weapons, has not used its latest generation of missiles, and has not attacked many of the enemy's important facilities, such as important energy sectors, sea cables, and artificial intelligence. By relying on its capabilities and the interests that the enemy has built near Iran's soil, Tehran can shake the ladder of tension that Trump wants to climb.

The President of the United States cannot move in a smooth and straight path and will be surprised by the event, in the precarious and vulnerable position that exists in this movement. After attacking Natanz, Isfahan and Ferdo last summer, Trump claimed that Iran's nuclear case was over; Its current threats against a new facility known as Pickaxe Mountain, where it claims nuclear activities are taking place, show that the game is not only over, it's just gotten bigger. Mount Klang is deeper, bigger and stronger than the three facilities that Trump attacked; What's more, due to Iran's secrecy and the nuclear program falling into obscurity, the status of the three targeted facilities is not known.

Only in the context of naval warfare, while the United States felt that it had destroyed its offensive capabilities by attacking Iran's coasts, instead of causing minor damage and disabling the vessels, Tehran went to the complete sinking of oil tankers and container ships, targeting vessels in a wider range, gaining the ability to detect small vessels at longer distances, and after several attacks by the aerospace force with special missiles on the American naval fleet and aircraft carrier fleet, This fleet has retreated to 700-800 kilometers from the coast of Iran. In the ground war, the Yemeni resistance recaptured the western coast in just a few days, which the enemy had equipped and strengthened to capture the coasts under the control of the central government. The rapid collapse of the enemy front, the siege of Taiz and fear in Marib and Aden, along with the confusion in Saudi Arabia, have been another part of the recent surprising developments.

If the enemy sees these field surprises, he must wait for surprises in strategic cards. The current uncertainty or the possibility of leaving the NPT is not a compliment or a formality; The truth is that America knows that Iran is the most real actor in the world arena; If the powers are silent or do not react to America's actions, Iran has never been quiet and without activity. If the drones you photoshopped cut your safety or the missiles you described as water heaters depleted your stockpile of interceptors on the global stage, what is hidden will be scarier than what is revealed.

Why don't Trump's words reduce the importance of the story?

The US president has announced his intention to attack Iran's nuclear or infrastructure facilities with non-nuclear weapons but with high power. Trump and the US feel that if they attack highly sensitive targets with non-nuclear means, their action is flexible enough not to create uncontrollable consequences. However, from Tehran's point of view, the story is not as Washington wants to insinuate. Iran considers such an attack serious and will give strong and multiple answers to it.

1. It does not have high explosive power, nuclear or non-nuclear

If the enemy uses a non-nuclear weapon with very high explosive intensity and consequences close to a conventional weapon, this non-nuclearity is no longer important. The enemy has claimed that the "mother of bombs" has the explosive power of a tactical nuclear bomb. Of course, this is an interpretation and the high power of the mother bombs is compared and described close to the tactical nuclear bomb; But in any case, its high explosive power means that it can be considered a weapon with unusual consequences. The use of bombs that destroy a large area, whether they are nuclear or non-nuclear, create legitimacy and a space of action for mutual power projection for Iran.

2. Unconventional weapon < unconventional target

Being non-nuclear and conventional is not only about weapons; It is also related to the target that is being attacked. If Trump even damages nuclear facilities by cyber action or sabotage through small explosions, it will be the same unconventional and nuclear action.

3. The decline of conventional power, driving the emergence of unconventional power

Unconventional weapons have their own function for each government. For states that do not have enough conventional power to stop great powers, unconventional weapons can fill the gap. Relying on its missile power and asymmetric warfare, Iran has stood against the superpowers and the one trillion dollar budget of the United States, and if Washington wants to go against them by attacking missile production chains, decommissioning or destroying missile cities, and commando operations, Tehran will have no other way to avoid heavy strikes than moving toward anything that stops this country. The simplest meaning of such actions is the production and operationalization of unconventional weapons.

Shouldn't we preempt the construction?

The doctrine of some countries in the field of unconventional actions does not include pre-emptive or immediate response; Rather, it is associated with delay. According to this idea, even if the enemy acts, there is time to respond in the framework of games and unconventional wars. It should be considered that an attack aimed at the complete destruction of the enemy in the form of unconventional attacks is very unlikely and for the battle of superpowers. Total annihilation is when one power has enough weapons to completely destroy another power. This case includes the United States and Russia, and even China does not have a place in it at the moment. What Trump is looking for is to play the card that will make Iran surrender.

Tehran did not surrender with the assassination of leaders, war and attack on military industry and missile cities. Therefore, the threat of infrastructural war, ground invasion in order to occupy areas of the country, attack on important nuclear facilities, or the use of special weapon cards in the form of high-powered bombs has been put on the table, so that Tehran can achieve these goals by threatening first, and if not, by implementing some or all of them.

In front of Iran, not only for resistance, but also for dissuading the enemy, it has raised counter-threats. For infrastructure war, oil fields are targeted. In the case of a ground war, a ground attack is carried out on the enemy's allies. If the nuclear facilities are attacked, the nuclear doctrine will change, as well as the enemy's move towards the use of special weapons, there will be the possibility of Iran's manufacturing, unveiling or use of special weapons.

Tehran has effective strategies to deal with the heavy measures of the enemy in terms of weapons and strikes, which it can move towards.

1. Smashing attacks on unconventional targets

Iran can attack two types of targets with conventional weapons; Unconventional targets include nuclear facilities or an attack with unconventional consequences, including power plants and water desalination plants. To target the enemy, not only unconventional weapons are needed, but unconventional targets can be targeted with conventional weapons, including a lot of drones and missiles; As America wants to attack nuclear facilities with non-nuclear weapons. Counterattacks on enemy nuclear facilities, destruction of water softeners, power plants, complete destruction of energy fields and setting them on fire, which make any reconstruction more difficult, are among these goals.

There are reasons for Iran not producing unconventional and nuclear weapons:

A) Nuclear weapons are considered a weapon of mass destruction and for the destruction of cities, and this is not correct from a religious and moral point of view.

b) There is a high probability that the neighbors will be provoked and go towards making such weapons.

C) The production of weapons can become an excuse in the hands of the enemy to isolate and discredit Iran in the region and the world.

d) The production of weapons is a driving force in the formation of a regional military alliance with the nuclear umbrella of the United States and the Zionist regime. In the form of the Ibrahim Peace, America intended to do such a thing, in which Tel Aviv would become the nuclear umbrella of the Arab governments against Iran, while Tehran basically had no weapons at its disposal and had only become a latent nuclear power that it could build if it wanted to.

The events that America is creating are removing most of these obstacles from Tehran, such as the fact that there are weapons with nuclear explosions that do not cause damage like previous examples and are not considered mass murder. In the case of barrier "A", one should know the types of weapons with "nuclear explosion". The first type of weapon with a nuclear explosion is what is known as a nuclear weapon, and from 1945 to 1952 it was the only unconventional weapon of its kind. This weapon was used against the Japanese cities of Hiroshima and Nagasaki. This weapon had the power to destroy medium-sized cities under half a million people. The nuclear explosion mechanism of this weapon is the fission of nuclei.

The second type is hydrogen weapons, which is also called "thermonuclear" and its nuclear explosion mechanism is nuclear fusion. The explosive power of this weapon is several hundred times that of nuclear weapons. The primary use of this weapon is the complete destruction of large cities.

The third type of weapons are the same nuclear weapons of the first type, whose efficiency has been reduced for tactical use against smaller targets. These weapons are used to target and completely destroy a barracks, airports, refineries, ports, industrial estates and similar facilities.

The second and third type, i.e. hydrogen and tactical, were built and entered the scene from the 1950s onwards.

The fourth type is the neutron weapon. This weapon works based on the nuclear explosion mechanism; But it has less power of destruction and less heat, and instead of that, radiation has been strengthened in it. As a result, the destruction of facilities and places is more limited and focuses on killing people.

The fifth type is nuclear magnetic weapons. This weapon explodes at a high altitude and creates a large magnetic field that disables electronic equipment without harming facilities or people or polluting the environment.

Among these weapons, the first, second, and fourth types, i.e., nuclear, hydrogen, and neutron weapons, are used for mass destruction, but tactical and magnetic nuclear weapons are different. However, these two weapons are not the same; Because a tactical nuclear weapon will in any case create a nuclear explosion on or near the surface of the earth and destroy military personnel in a base along with facilities and equipment; On the other hand, the magnetic weapon may cover a wider geography, but without killing a person, destroying a building or polluting the environment.

Of course, this weapon is a strategic weapon compared to a tactical nuclear weapon due to the wide range of damage; Because it destroys electronic equipment in a wide geographical area. In this case, the enemy's weapons will not be effective and there will be no possibility for general mobilization and recovery of capabilities in factories for maximum production of weapons. Therefore, tactical nuclear weapons and more than that, magnetic nuclear weapons do not violate Iran's religious and moral barriers and considerations.

Regarding case "B" and inciting the neighbors to build such weapons, when America moves towards unconventional actions against Iran by inciting these governments, this consideration is no longer valid. Regarding issue "C", which is related to the defamation of Iran, the enemy's attacks give Tehran the legitimacy to take countermeasures. Also, regarding issue "D", which is the formation of a coalition, it seems that the United States attacked Iran with such a coalition and bypassed the creation of a nuclear umbrella, and by attacking Iran's nuclear facilities, it has practically entered an unconventional framework. Both the main obstacle of not making a weapon, which is case "A", is compatible with a number of weapons with a nuclear explosion mechanism, and the secondary obstacles that are related to the performance of others will be removed in case of enemy actions.

Meanwhile, there is another important point; Nuclear explosive weapons are used to damage the earth's surface; But efforts have also been made to make different types of stone crushers. However, despite the claim of making such examples, there are doubts about their performance and effectiveness. A nuclear explosive weapon cannot find a way from the surface to the depth of the nuclear facility, but its function is that a strong body should be prepared for the bomb so that by hitting the mountain or the upper part of the underground facility, it can penetrate inside with the speed and hardness of the body of several meters. In this sense, the nuclear explosion does not have the ability to focus in one direction, to split a part of the underground facility.

These types of weapons can be produced in the form of nuclear and hydrogen weapons; But they are not effective for Iran at the moment. This case has technical and of course religious and human reasons. So far, there has been no evidence of Iran's ability to build hard bodies for splitting without deep explosion; As a result, Tehran is not able to deliver a bomb to a depth of several tens of meters without exploding. On the other hand, even in the case of explosion in depth, it affects an important part of the explosion on the earth's surface, which can be harmful to humans and the environment.

If Iran is facing serious threats, the resistance is also facing similar threats. To defend itself, Tehran has equipped a network of regional allies and relied on missiles and drones. Almost all of Iran's regional allies have also taken such actions. In the issue of creating a network of regional allies, Syria was strongly focused on equipping Lebanon and Palestine. Although the Lebanese were the recipients of the supplies, they participated in equipping the Palestinian groups. In Iraq, large resistance groups have started to form smaller resistance groups and support these groups.

In terms of missiles, except for heavy and hypersonic missiles, they have almost all types of drones, ballistic and cruise missiles. The biggest example is Yemen, which has built a large number of ballistic missiles and quickly hits the enemy in the form of evacuation in the occupied territories or Saudi Arabia. If the enemy uses strong non-nuclear weapons or attacks nuclear facilities again to defend its allies or those allies for expansionism and conspiracy, then if Tehran changes its doctrine, according to the existing tradition and procedure, the axis of resistance will also take steps in these cases. Basically, if Iran is armed, others will also go towards nuclear weapons and it will become a nuclear zone, why not the resistance groups and governments?