Reflections of the Consequences of the War on Iran in World Media

Since the start of the military aggression by the United States and the Zionist regime against Iran, not only were the declared objectives of this operation not achieved, but, as acknowledged by Western officials and American media, a strategic defeat has been imposed on the aggressors.

Ambassador Arjan of the International Group: From the beginning of the military aggression of the United States and the Zionist regime against Iran, not only the stated goals of this operation were not achieved, but also, according to the acknowledgment of the Western authorities and the American media, a strategic stalemate and field and political defeats were imposed on the aggressors. This war, which started with widespread attacks and killing of civilians, including innocent students, quickly gained wide human, security and economic dimensions and provoked different reactions in the international media.

The world's media, each with their own approaches, have tried to shape the narrative of this war; Examining these reflections can provide a clearer picture of the true state of the war and its prospects.

Bloomberg wrote in a report that Lloyd Austin, the former Secretary of Defense of the United States, said at the Warsaw security meeting that there is no "easy way out" of the Iran war at this stage. According to this publication, Austin added that both sides believe that they can outlast the other side and that resolving the conflict requires "expert diplomacy". He said that America and Iran have toughened their positions and although Iran's economy is under severe pressure, Tehran is used to such pressures. This report adds that Trump has repeatedly spoken about the progress of both sides, but has not received results, and his threats of military escalation are tied to the approaching mid-term elections and high fuel prices. According to this publication, the war has damaged the region's infrastructure and destroyed American bases, but Iran has shown that it can threaten the Strait of Hormuz. Austin said that the Persian Gulf region will "never" return to the pre-war situation and that history will judge whether Trump's war was a strategic mistake.

In a report published by The Hill, US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessant said on the "Fox and Friends" program about the Iran war that he does not know how this war will end. Besnet said, like the collapse of the Berlin Wall, the end of this war cannot be predicted.

According to De Hill, his statements were made about two weeks before the war reached eight months. This war, which is not popular in American public opinion, has raised the cost of energy in the United States and the Strait of Hormuz has been closed as a key export route for Persian Gulf oil. The war and its aftermath have become a major issue in the midterm elections, with Democrats pressing Republicans over high energy costs. Trump initially predicted that the war would last for several weeks, but despite domestic political pressure, no way out has been found.

He recently said the war would end soon after the midterm elections, but was vague about how. Last week, he also announced that the US will not launch a new attack against Iran before the mid-term elections. The protracted war has raised concerns about the depletion of US weapons stockpiles and the heavy cost to friendly countries in the region, The Hill reported. On Friday, the US Ministry of Defense updated the number of soldiers killed in the Iran war to 21.

In a recent analysis published by Foreign Affairs magazine, it is stated that Iran's resistance in the war with America and Israel is due to Washington and Tel Aviv's reliance on long-range air and sea campaign to bring Iran to its knees. According to Faren Afers, air superiority has been a pillar of Western strategy for decades and has been effective in the battle with conventional ground forces, as it had significant results in the 1991 war in Iraq, Kosovo and Libya.

But history shows that punitive bombing alone did not lead to the political surrender of the enemy; Nazi Germany, North Korea, Vietnam, Afghanistan and Iraq are its examples. In the case of Iran, most of the missiles and production capacity are located in underground "missile cities" far from the reach of conventional bombs. This publication concludes that the air campaign against Iran is an example of the abuse of air power, but America should not give up air superiority as a deterrent against Russia and China; Because in future conventional wars, air superiority is still decisive.

Al Jazeera wrote in an article: Russia can play an effective role in ending the war in the Persian Gulf due to its friendly relations with Iran, America and Arab countries. Dmitry Medvedev, the deputy of the Russian Security Council, and Vladimir Putin have emphasized the need for a diplomatic solution to the Iran-US conflict.

According to the author, the strategic cooperation between Tehran and Moscow in the military, economic, energy, space technology, and transportation fields has provided a suitable ground for Russia's mediation. Moscow also has cooperative relations with the Arab countries of the Persian Gulf, including Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Qatar and Oman, and is aware of the economic and security consequences of the war and the restriction of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz.

The author suggests that the security system of the region should be based on respect for international law, participation of all parties, provision of common security and prohibition of the proliferation of nuclear weapons. The goal of the negotiations should not be just a ceasefire, but to achieve lasting peace between Iran and the United States and to ensure the security of all countries in the Persian Gulf. Quoting Churchill, he emphasizes that a year of difficult negotiations is better than a day of war.

Raye Elyoum in an article in which the author narrates a conversation he had with his Iranian colleague in Europe and deals with the different perceptions of the American and Israeli war against Iran. This Iranian cooperation believes that an attack on Iran is an attack on the country and its people, not just the government; Therefore, dissatisfaction with the system does not necessarily mean supporting the attackers. From his point of view, the historical memory of Iranians, especially the experience of the 1953 coup against the Mossadegh government, war and sanctions, plays a role in the formation of national resistance.

He also emphasizes that Shia culture and Iranian identity are present even among non-religious people. According to him, the Iranian government was able to regain control of the situation faster than expected after the attacks. On the other hand, he strongly criticizes the dependence of some Arab governments on America. The author concludes that a distinction should be made between homeland and government, and opposition to the system and opposition to foreign aggression.

Al-Mayadeen wrote in an article: The continuation of the war in Yemen has faced both the people of this country with destruction and livelihood crisis and has endangered the security and peace of the citizens of Saudi Arabia. According to the author, the main responsibility for ending the war lies with Saudi Arabia, which launched the military operation "Storm of Decisiveness" in 2015.

Despite the 2023 negotiations and the announced agreements for a ceasefire, payment of salaries, reopening of routes and facilitating the operation of Hodeidah port and Sana'a airport, the dispute over the implementation of commitments has prevented the achievement of lasting peace.

The author believes that military superiority has not been able to create stable security and the continuation of war has increased the field of influence of foreign powers. He calls for the simultaneous cessation of attacks, removal of humanitarian restrictions, respect for Yemeni sovereignty and the start of a comprehensive dialogue between Yemeni groups. It also suggests that Egypt take the diplomatic initiative to end the war by supporting the mediation of Oman and the cooperation of the United Nations.

Ambassador Arjan reported that the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has predicted that the average price of a barrel of oil will reach $95.74 in 2026 and $87.39 in 2027; The estimate is based on the assumption of the gradual return of shipping to the pre-war level, despite the regional tensions and disruption of sea traffic in the Strait of Hormuz.

According to the International Monetary Fund's new report on the global economic outlook, oil prices will increase by 41.6% this year, but will decrease by around 8.7% in 2027. This forecast is based on the maritime traffic in the Strait of Hormuz between March and October 2027 returning to the pre-war situation.

However, the Fund's experts have warned that if the US war against Iran does not end by June 2027, shipping in the Straits of Hormuz and Bab al-Mandab may be effectively paralyzed and damage to oil infrastructure will spread. In such a situation, the restoration of oil supply will be unlikely before the end of 2027, and the price of a barrel of oil can reach $130 from the fourth quarter of 2026 to the first quarter of 2027.

This report also announced a 48% increase in the price of natural gas and a 10% increase in the price of chemical fertilizers in 2026.

Ambassador Arjan reported that Ismail Baqaei, the spokesman of Iran's Ministry of Foreign Affairs, announced on October 12 that Tehran is reviewing America's latest response to Iran's positions regarding the cessation of hostilities and the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, and after the review is completed, it will convey its views to the American side through mediators.

Baqaei emphasized in his weekly press conference that Iran's conditions for reopening the Strait of Hormuz have not changed and Tehran will not make any concessions regarding its rights. He listed the lifting of the US naval blockade, the end of the war on various fronts, and the release of Iran's blocked assets as among Tehran's conditions.

According to Xinhua, on September 22 and on the sidelines of the 81st session of the United Nations General Assembly in New York, through Qatar and with the mediation of this country, Iran had conveyed its conditions for the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz to the American side.

Referring to the continuation of the exchange of messages between Tehran and Washington through mediators, the spokesperson of Iran's Ministry of Foreign Affairs clarified Iran's position and emphasized that America must first stop what Tehran calls interventionist and aggressive actions. These statements show that despite the continuation of diplomatic relations, the fundamental differences between the two sides regarding the maritime blockade, the cessation of hostilities and the conditions for the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz still remain.