Saudi Arabia under fire; The expansion of attacks and the impasse of the military solution in Yemen

The conflict between the forces of Ansarullah and Saudi Arabia has intensified and missile attacks on targets in this country, including centers related to transportation and critical infrastructure, have increased concerns about the expansion of the war.

Ambassador Arjan of the Politics Group: The escalation of conflicts between Saudi Arabia and Yemen's Ansarullah forces once again shows that the crisis in Yemen is not only far from a military solution, but has become one of the complex security nodes in West Asia. The resumption of cross-border attacks, the expansion of military operations in Yemen and the threat to the strategic routes of the Red Sea have made the prospect of peace in the region more uncertain.

According to recent reports, the conflict between the forces of Ansarullah and Saudi Arabia has intensified, and missile attacks on targets in this country, including centers related to transportation and critical infrastructure, have increased concerns about the expansion of the war. Reports also indicate the escalation of airstrikes by the Saudi-led coalition against Yemeni positions. These developments show that the relative calm of the past years could not resolve the political and military roots of the crisis.

A war beyond the confrontation between Riyadh and Sana'a

To understand the current situation, it is necessary to go back to the roots of the crisis. After Ansarullah took control of Sana'a in 2014, the military intervention of the Saudi-led coalition in 2015 brought Yemen's civil war into a new phase. Riyadh announced its goal of supporting the recognized government of Yemen and confronting security threats in the southern borders; On the other hand, Ansarullah also expanded its military capabilities during the war, especially in the field of missiles and drones.

However, today's developments cannot be analyzed solely within the framework of the dispute between Saudi Arabia and Ansarullah. The geopolitical location of Yemen in the vicinity of the Red Sea and the Bab al-Mandab strait has made this country a critical point for global trade and energy security. Any disruption in these routes can have consequences beyond Yemen's borders and affect the calculations of regional and international powers.

regional diplomacy; An opportunity to contain the crisis

In such a situation, Tehran's emphasis on the necessity of dialogue between the Yemeni and Saudi sides is particularly important. The statements of Ismail Baqaei, the spokesman of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Iran, regarding Tehran's readiness to help in the talks, along with the telephone consultations of Seyed Abbas Araghchi with Badr Al-Busayidi, the Foreign Minister of Oman, Hakan Fidan, the Foreign Minister of Turkey, and Badr Abdel-Ati, the Foreign Minister of Egypt, indicate a diplomatic effort to prevent the spread of the crisis.

Due to its mediation role in the Yemen case, Oman has an important capacity to facilitate negotiations. However, the success of diplomatic initiatives depends on the will of the parties involved to stop the attacks, ensure the security of the borders and address the political demands of the Yemenis.

At the same time, the warnings of Hans Grundberg, the UN special envoy for Yemen, about the return of the country to a full-scale war, show that the continuation of conflicts can destroy the fragile achievements of previous efforts to reduce tension.

peace; A necessity beyond military considerations

The fact is that neither airstrikes alone can solve the crisis in Yemen, nor missile and drone attacks can guarantee the stable security of Saudi Arabia. The continuation of the war, in addition to the increase in military and security costs, puts the lives of millions of civilians at risk and makes the economic and political reconstruction of the involved countries more difficult.

In the meantime, Tehran's warning about the Zionist regime's exploitation of regional disputes shows Iran's concern about the spread of instability in West Asia. However, overcoming the current situation requires above all the reduction of tension between direct actors, the strengthening of regional mediation and the formation of a political process with the real participation of the involved parties.

The main test of Saudi Arabia and Ansarullah is not in the ability to carry out more military strikes, but in the readiness to end the war and reach a lasting agreement. Without such an agreement, any temporary peace could be the prelude to a new round of war; A war whose main cost will be the fragile security of the region.

According to the announcement of Yemeni sources, Ansarullah, in his phone calls with the authorities of the countries of the region, including Iran, stated the conditions for the end of these conflicts, the most important of which is to stop the escalation of the conflicts by the Riyadh authorities. A condition that most of all shows the will of the Saudi authorities to stop or continue this war.