Strategic Chess Amid Turmoil: From the Strait of Hormuz to Yemen's Battlefields
Introduction: Strategic transparency in the midst of media fog
These days, the scene of regional developments is full of noise and contradictions. On the one hand, the American authorities and the Zionist regime make contradictory statements, and on the other hand, the flood of scattered analyzes do not present a single picture. In such an environment, it is necessary to return to the "basic state" regardless of these noises.
The fact is that there has been no change in the nature of the story. Reliable data shows that the enemy is still trying to deliver a surprise blow with the aim of creating instability in Iran. Their goal is to assassinate key people, destroy underground missile and nuclear facilities, and control Iran's response. All their current actions are just an attempt to create media and operational coverage for the same "Zero Moment".
Chess game: Iran is not a passive actor
Why has this attack not happened yet? Part of the answer lies in the uncertainties of the enemy, but more importantly, the fact that Iran is not a passive actor. We assume that the conflict has already begun and do not allow the enemy to prepare the necessary preparations for the final decision:
1- Playing with the price of oil: using tools in the Strait of Hormuz, Bab al-Mandeb and beyond, we will not allow the price of oil to fall.
2- Neutralizing false assessments: Our armed forces send a message with their weapons maneuvers that this time Iran's response will be longer, wider and in a new geography.
3- Breaking the surprise: the enemy himself now admits that Iran may not be surprised this time and may even surprise them.
4- Denial of operational leisure: The conflicts of Ansarullah in Yemen have severely involved the military capacity of Saudi Arabia and the United States.
By increasing internal social cohesion, we have thwarted one of the enemy's most important goals. The main conflict has begun and we are neutralizing the enemy's preparations daily.
The second act: Yemen and the birth of a new power
On the front of Yemen, a huge epic is being created. Ansarullah has targeted five areas with a smart strategy:
Saudi energy facilities: With the destruction of more than 50 vital facilities of Aramco, Ansarullah has practically become the king of energy in the world.
Air blockade: Saudi Arabia's main airports are under fire, and American and Israeli defenses have been completely ineffective.
Sea blockade: Ansarullah is ready to close the Bab al-Mandab strait. If this happens, the global economy will be in a dying state.
Intelligence Strikes: Surgical operations against Saudi Arabia's sensitive infrastructure are indicative of high intelligence aristocracy.
Ground advance: Despite the brutal bombings, Ansarullah's ground advance continues and the city of Taiz is completely surrounded.
Mohammad Bin Salman has got himself into this predicament with three big miscalculations. The geopolitical transformation of the Arabian Peninsula has begun, and it is Ansarullah that will determine the security future of this region.
The third act: the agreement between Russia and America; A tactical advertising game
The recent agreement between Russia and the United States on the export of 300,000 tons of diesel is more than a strategic reality, it shows Trump's mental games on the eve of the congressional elections. This number is practically nothing compared to the daily consumption of America.
The Russians took advantage of Trump's dire need by having their refineries pressured by Ukrainian drones. Trump also accepted this insignificant agreement and sacrificed the interests of Ukraine and Europe in order to gain publicity.
The more important point is that this agreement itself shows that the Strait of Hormuz is not open as the Americans claim. The energy crisis in America is deep and Trump is caught in it.
The main story has not changed. The enemy is determined to strike, but we intelligently take the initiative and do not allow the zero moment to form. In Yemen, the axis of resistance is creating a new geopolitical order, and in the field of diplomacy, America's demonstrative agreements should be analyzed in the context of psychological warfare.
Confidence in the resistance-oriented command system and all-round readiness is our password from this historical turn. We are fighting in a complex arena and rest assured that the grand plans will reveal themselves in time.