The latest developments in the American war with Iran; From the missile defense crisis to the possibility of Iran withdrawing from the NPT

Simultaneously with the escalation of tensions in the Strait of Hormuz, reports indicate an increase in attacks on ships, concern about the stockpiles of American defense missiles, and the consideration of the reduction of some oil sanctions; Developments that have turned the costs of the war with Iran into a challenge for the Trump administration on the eve of the mid-term elections.

Ambassador Arjan - Political Group: Simultaneously with the continuation of military tensions between Iran and the United States, developments in the Strait of Hormuz, reports about the targeting of ships, increased military movements of the United States and European countries, and the warnings of the commanders of the Iranian armed forces, have revealed new dimensions of this confrontation. Along with the developments in the field, the approach of the mid-term elections in the United States and the increase in economic pressures caused by the war have become one of the important axes of Washington's calculations; An issue that raises questions about the costs of continuing the war for the United States at the same time as the Trump administration is considering reducing some oil sanctions.

field developments; Increasing attacks on ships in the Strait of Hormuz

Reports indicate the expansion of the range of attacks in the Strait of Hormuz. Al Jazeera reported that since Sunday, at least 10 ships have been targeted in the Strait of Hormuz or nearby areas. According to this network, the number of attacks is the highest since the beginning of the war against Iran.

The Wall Street Journal has also claimed that two cargo ships belonging to the UAE have sunk after being targeted in the Strait of Hormuz in the past 24 hours. According to this report, in the past 96 hours, the geographical range of attacks attributed to Iran and the diversity of the attacked targets have increased, and non-oil cargoes have also been among the targets.

Meanwhile, the Navy of the Islamic Republic of Iran has announced the identification of an oil tanker that, according to the force, intended to pass through the restricted area in the Oman Sea by turning off the tracking systems and caught fire in this area.

The Navy of the Army has announced that this tanker was detected during patrolling and controlling the east of the Strait of Hormuz and that the Iranian Armed Forces have control over this area.

Admiral Siari also emphasized the situation of the Strait of Hormuz and announced that this waterway is closed and any vessel that enters it without coordination will face the consequences of this action.

Army commander: Strait of Hormuz will remain closed until Iran's rights are respected

Major General Hatami, the Commander-in-Chief of the Islamic Republic of Iran Army, emphasized the readiness of the armed forces to face any possible conflict and said that the Strait of Hormuz is under the full supervision of the army and IRGC.

He announced that under the supervision of the armed forces, the enemy's vessels could not enter the desired area of Iran, and parts of the enemy's bases were also damaged during the clashes.

The Commander-in-Chief of the Army also warned that the Strait of Hormuz will remain closed until the rights of the Iranian nation are respected and any threat to the country's infrastructure will be met with a multiple response.

Referring to Iran's deterrence equation, Hatami clarified that if the country's infrastructure, the infrastructure and interests of the other party are targeted, the Zionist regime and any party that cooperates with it will face the risk of multiple damages.

Major General Yazidi, the deputy commander of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, also emphasized the readiness of the armed forces on land, sea and sky, and said that Iran will not allow even a single part of the country's territory to be in the hands of the enemy.

Increasing US and European military movements in the region

The published reports indicate the increase in the air movements of the United States and some European countries in the region.

According to the statistics published in the news sources, during the last 24 hours, about 90 military planes have been observed in the region. Among these flights, seven military transport planes arrived from outside the region, which were four American planes, one Kuwaiti plane, one German plane and one French plane.

Also, 34 refueling planes, eight reconnaissance planes, two fighters, 28 military transport planes moving inside the region and two military helicopters were in the list of reported flights.

Meanwhile, reports indicate that American drones continue to fly over Iraq. According to published information, five MQ-9 drones and one MQ-1 drone have been flown from American bases in Jordan and the occupied territories; Flights described in published reports as violating Iraqi air sovereignty.

On the opposite front, Israel's Channel 12 has claimed that Iran has asked Lebanon's Hezbollah to be ready for a regional war in the coming days. This claim has not yet been independently verified in the information provided.

Benjamin Netanyahu has also claimed that Israel will destroy Hamas and Hezbollah and overthrow Iran within the next two years. Statements that emphasize the continuation of Israel's declared goals towards Iran and regional resistance groups.

Warning about the shortage of US defense missiles

As Washington continues to build up its military presence in the region, reports of a dwindling stockpile of US interceptor missiles have caught the attention of the media and military circles.

CBS has reported, quoting the estimate of the Center for Strategic and International Studies, that the US Army is faced with a significant shortage of interceptor missiles of the Patriot and THAAD systems.

According to this estimate, before the start of the war with Iran, the United States had about 2,300 Patriot interceptor missiles and used between 1,050 and 1,430 missiles of this type during the conflicts.

According to this report, even if most of these munitions are stopped, rebuilding the US defense stockpile may take until 2030.

These figures will indicate a significant pressure in the field of supplying American defense ammunition; An issue that is important in evaluating Washington's ability to simultaneously manage military crises on several fronts.

On the other hand, Centcom has reported an increase in the casualties of American soldiers in Iran attacks, but in the information provided, more details about the number of casualties or the location of the attacks have not been published.

Trump's possible turn in oil sanctions to curb fuel prices

The economic pressures caused by the war, especially in the energy market, have become one of the important issues facing the US government.

Donald Trump's administration is considering easing restrictions on oil tankers linked to Iran and Russia to prevent rising fuel prices ahead of November's midterm elections, the Financial Times reported.

According to the report, the options under consideration may include allowing the sale of some sanctioned vessels to legitimate operators and lifting restrictions that have prevented them from operating freely in the global market.

Ambassador Arjan has also reported that American officials are considering reducing sanctions related to the so-called "Shadow Fleet"; Ships that carry oil and oil products from countries such as Iran, Russia and Venezuela.

According to Reuters, the purpose of these studies is to reduce the cost of sea transportation and curb the increase in fuel prices. However, analysts cited by the Financial Times believe that the potential impact of such a decision on fuel prices may be limited.

These developments take place in a situation where the Trump administration is simultaneously emphasizing on intensifying the economic pressure against Iran.

The US Treasury Secretary has announced that Washington will continue to pressure Iran until the financial arteries are cut off. The US Treasury has also announced new sanctions against Iran.

Examining the reduction of some oil restrictions, along with the continuation of sanctions, shows Washington's attempt to balance economic pressure on Iran and curb domestic costs caused by the energy crisis; However, the impact of these policies on the global oil and fuel market will still depend on the developments in the field and the state of maritime traffic.

American mid-term elections; The Iran war became a matter of domestic competition

As the November 3rd mid-term elections approach, the war with Iran has been raised in the American political atmosphere more than before.

Donald Trump has described this election as the most important election in American history. According to the published report of the Pew Institute survey, the level of satisfaction with his performance has reached 30%; A figure that, if true, will indicate the political challenges facing the American president on the eve of the elections.

In the same context, Josh Turk, candidate for the US Senate, linked the increase in gasoline prices to the war with Iran and called for an end to this conflict.