New York Fed Chief Says One More Rate Hike May Suffice in 2026, Then Pause in 2027

John Williams, President of the New York Fed, said that perhaps only one more interest rate hike would be appropriate during 2026. He added that he sees no need for rate increases in 2027 at present. Williams expects inflation to approach the Fed's 2% target next year as the shocks from tariffs and the energy sector fade.

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John Williams, president of the New York Federal Reserve, said that only one more interest rate hike may be appropriate in 2026. He added that he currently sees no need to raise rates in 2027.

Williams expects inflation to move closer to the Fed's 2 percent target next year as the stimulus from tariffs and the energy sector fades. He also acknowledged inflationary pressures from AI, but said the economy as a whole was not overheating.

Markets are already pricing in one rate hike in December and two hikes in 2027. These estimates have made Williams' outlook much less contractionary compared to market expectations.