Real Madrid's chances of direct qualification high / Champions League supercomputer gives Mourinho the win

José Mourinho defended the great value of Real Madrid's 4-3 win over Roma at the Olimpico last night.

According to "Sports Three", after a tough game, the 63-year-old Portuguese head coach emphasized the difficulty of competing with a team that imposes a very high rhythm and constantly plays in one-on-one mode. He also made it clear that, apart from Arsenal, Real Madrid have already overcome some of the toughest fixtures of their schedule.

The latest supercomputer predictions for the Champions League reinforce this view. The six points that Real Madrid earned against Inter Milan and Roma put this team in a privileged position on the eve of the end of the group stage. The club are now second in the group stage predictions, just behind Arsenal. The model assigns Real an expected 17.28 points, while Barcelona ranks third with 16.92.

This difference is also reflected in their chances of finishing in the top eight, which provides direct access to the round of 16.

Real Madrid have a 76.90% chance of achieving that goal, according to model estimates that prove Mourinho is right. He said after the game: "It is very difficult for them to continue playing with this rhythm, intensity and one-on-one play for 90 minutes. "It will be important to draw a positive point away from home against an important opponent and a win is very important for us."

In addition, Mourinho has named Arsenal as one of the biggest challenges in the schedule, with predictions placing the English side among the main contenders.

This model gives Arsenal a 23.04% chance to win the group stage and a 21.34% chance to win the Champions League. On the other hand, Barcelona has a better prospect in the competition for the championship than Real Madrid. Barcelona has a 12.59% chance to win, while Real Madrid has a 6.13% chance.