A member of the National Security Commission: Negotiations are currently underway with the United States with Qatar and Oman in the lead/ Meeting and discussion between Araghchi and the Egyptian Foreign Minister on regional issues/ Vance: You cannot enter war just because it makes you feel good or you are angry and upset/ IRGC: Explosion in a supertanker after hitting a sea mine in the Strait of Hormuz
Today is Mehr 25, 1405, and 231 days have passed since the American and Israeli attack on Iran (March 9, 1404) and the beginning of the 40-day war, as well as 193 days since the ceasefire (April 18, 1405); The ceasefire was violated on July 17, 1405, and the United States imposed another military conflict on Iran, which lasted for 17 days continuously and then continued sporadically. Yesterday, the spokesman of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Qatar said: Any agreement with Iran should be everyone's concern
Today is Mehr 25, 1405, and 231 days have passed since the American and Israeli attack on Iran (March 9, 1404) and the beginning of the 40-day war, as well as 193 days since the ceasefire (April 18, 1405); The ceasefire was violated on July 17, 1405, and the United States imposed another military conflict on Iran, which lasted for 17 days continuously and then continued sporadically. Yesterday, the spokesperson of Qatar's Foreign Ministry said: Any agreement with Iran must include the concerns of all parties and we emphasize the necessity of creating a new security system for the region.
Read the developments related to the war, ceasefire and negotiations in the past day from the following link:
What happened on the 97th day of the third war? (October 24, 1405) / The price of Brent oil reached $109 / Osinte: A giant Emirati tanker was hit by a projectile in the Strait of Hormuz / Ambassador Arjan: Israel's sky is clear / Doha: Any agreement with Iran must include the concerns of all parties / The commander of the search committee for the missing: Qataris promised that a second expert team will go into the situation of Iranian pilots; This means that the first team has reached some facts in their investigations
The news related to war, truce and negotiation on this day, 25 Mehr 1405, is as follows:
Rezazadeh, a member of the National Security Commission: Currently, negotiations are underway with the United States with Qatar and Oman in the lead/ These negotiations are conducted directly and with the mediation of these two neighboring countries/ We are waiting to see if the conditions we have announced will be accepted by the Americans or not/ I don't think the enemies want to attack again/ Shaam will definitely get the leadership's permission for negotiations 07/25/1405 - 13:01 Member of the National Security and Politics Commission Referring to the continuation of indirect negotiations with the mediation of Qatar and Oman, the foreigner of the parliament said: Iran's conditions for negotiations have been announced to the American side, and it should be seen whether these conditions will be accepted or not. However, we have the necessary preparation and in case of any attack, Iran will give a strong response.
Regarding the possibility of the resumption of the conflict and the outbreak of war between Iran and the United States, considering the set of conditions ahead, including the activation of betting sites about the time of the outbreak of war, the American and Israeli elections, as well as the claim of a preemptive attack by Iran on Israel before the elections of this regime, should we wait for the outbreak of war in the next few days or will the mediators intervene again and there is a possibility of negotiations, he said: In my opinion, raising such a statement as betting in this field is completely wrong. and these predictions and bets are not correct. Categories such as war have their own contexts and it is not possible to tell what will happen just by activating a site to predict the start of war.
This member of the National Security and Foreign Policy Commission noted: Today, we have reached very good defense capabilities that we did not have in the first and second wars. Today we have increased our defense capabilities. Therefore, the information of these prerequisites and bets, in my opinion, is not correct in any way.
Regarding the pre-emptive attack, he said: As our martyr imam said, we have never taken the lead in any war and we did not carry out a pre-emptive attack. We believe in legitimate defense; That is, if the enemy attacks us, we will defend each other and we will show a strong and crushing response to the best of our ability. Certainly, these capabilities are much higher and even more impressive compared to the first and second wars.
He emphasized: On the other hand, our enemies have also seen and understood, and I don't think they want to be aggressive again. Because at the moment, with the help of Qatar and Oman, a series of negotiations that I am in the process of are going on. These negotiations are conducted directly and with the mediation of these two neighboring countries. We have proposed a series of conditions and the other side has also proposed a series of conditions, and now we are waiting to see if the conditions that we announced will be accepted by the Americans or not. We have the necessary preparation in terms of military, defense, air and capabilities of the IRGC Navy and Air Defense of the Islamic Republic of Iran, and we will respond at the appropriate time.
This member of the National Security and Foreign Policy Commission said that in the past few days, there was talk of missile testing and news was published in response to the question of whether Iran will unveil its new missiles if a new conflict takes place. He stated: This matter is part of military information and I cannot provide new information about our new missiles; But I am sure that if the enemy wants to do something stupid, our defense capability, our defense capability, and our naval capability are much higher and stronger compared to the first and second wars, and it will be more difficult to face it.
In response to the fact that you mentioned the discussion of mediation and that messages are being exchanged. Are these messages exchanged at the level of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs or higher levels and these messages are transferred to the leadership, he said: "Definitely, all negotiations are under the supervision of the Supreme National Security Council and Shaam's Secretariat, and the exchange of negotiation items must be done with the opinion of the Supreme National Security Council, and Shaam will definitely get the permission of the leadership for these matters."
Seyyed Abbas Araghchi and Badr Abdalati, the foreign ministers of Iran and Egypt, met and discussed on Saturday, October 25, on the sidelines of the meeting of foreign ministers of the Organization of Islamic Cooperation in Baghdad.
CNN wrote: The war between the United States and Iran has drastically changed the global oil market by severely disrupting the transfer of oil through two vital waterways, namely the Strait of Hormuz and in recent weeks the Strait of Bab al-Mandab.
According to the report, it is further stated in this article: Iran has now intensified attacks on oil tankers that pass through the Strait of Hormuz and the Persian Gulf. These attacks reduced the volume of oil exported from the region and caused the global price of crude oil to remain above $100 per barrel.
According to the UK Maritime Trade Operations Center (UKMTO), which monitors maritime security in the region, 12 attacks on ships in or around the Strait of Hormuz have been reported over the past week. Also, earlier this week, two cargo ships sank in two separate incidents after being hit by projectiles of unknown origin.
The US Army has directed an operation to transfer oil through this strait. In the framework of this operation, American forces help the passage of oil cargoes in the so-called "dark passages"; Passages in which tankers move with their positioner transmitters off and transfer oil to ships waiting in the Gulf of Oman.
This conflict, which is now in its eighth month, has expanded and has also included the conflict between Saudi Arabia and the pro-Iranian Houthis in Yemen.
The Houthis have targeted Saudi oil tankers passing through the Bab al-Mandab strait, and in recent days have also carried out deadly attacks on Riyadh's main international airport.
The sinking of two cargo ships in the Strait of Hormuz at the same time as the escalation of Iran's attacks on the eve of the US mid-term elections
Videos verified by CNN show the sinking of the Singapore-flagged container ship JFS Pride; A ship that was targeted by projectiles of unknown origin on October 13.
In these images, smoke rises from the ship and its hull gradually sinks into the water. Later videos and satellite images also show the scattering of the ship's cargo in the waters of the Strait of Hormuz.
Analysts say that this crisis will have long-term consequences for the global oil market.
In an interview with CNN, Georg Zakhman, a senior researcher at Bruegel's think tank, said that oil-importing countries have increasingly come to the understanding that in order to reduce their vulnerability to external shocks, they must "structurally reduce their oil consumption".
He said this measure, among other measures, could help these countries "make themselves more secure against a world that is becoming more uncertain every day".
The Strait of Bab al-Mandab became more strategically important after the war disrupted the adjacent Strait of Hormuz.
Richard Bruns, one of the founders of "Energy Aspects" Institute, says that at the peak of activity of this route, about 4.5 million barrels of crude oil were exported from Yanbu port in Saudi Arabia in the Red Sea.
According to him, after the Houthi threats escalated this summer, this export flow "collapsed".
Johannes Rawball, senior crude oil market analyst at Kepler, said if the Houthis started threatening ships belonging to all countries, "that would be another blow to the crude oil market." "Such a situation will once again raise prices sharply and limit the balance of supply and demand even more."
However, after last month's drone attack on Saudi Arabia's east-west pipeline, Riyadh quickly reversed course and increased crude oil exports through the Strait of Hormuz with the help of US military-backed oil transfer operations.
The East-West pipeline transports crude oil to Saudi ports on the Red Sea.
US President Donald Trump [claimed] that Iran was probably behind the September attack.
Iran's Ministry of Foreign Affairs has "categorically denied" this accusation. According to several reports, the East-West pipeline has now been reactivated.
Asian countries, which are the biggest buyers of Saudi oil, have suffered the most pressure from this crisis during the war; But by reducing their oil consumption, they have adapted to the conditions to some extent.
China has also reduced oil imports by using its strategic reserves.
The crisis has also led some Middle Eastern countries to explore new export routes through pipelines that have yet to be built.
Gregory Burrow, an energy and Iran analyst at the Eurasia Group Institute, wrote: A few field facts: Iran fires at ships passing through the strait and damages a significant number of them. It is difficult to determine the exact number of these attacks; Because the UK Maritime Trade Operations Organization (UKMTO) has admitted that many attacks go unreported and cannot be verified.
He added: A handful of these ships have been stopped or disabled due to Iranian fire; Two ships have sunk and the others continue to pass through the strait.
He claimed: the ship escort system with the support of the United States has succeeded in significantly increasing traffic through the strait. The volume of cargo transfer flow from the whole region has reached the levels close to before the war, but this trend fluctuates in weekly intervals. Despite the improvement in the flow of shipments, the prices of near-term oil contracts and cash prices for immediate delivery have not decreased. This situation has three reasons: 1) the continuation of high demand; 2) very high costs of sea transportation following the attacks; and 3) the lack of assurance of supply reliability, which encourages buyers to pay a higher price for immediate oil purchase and delivery.
While there is increasing evidence that tensions are likely to escalate, diplomacy continues and both sides are communicating through mediators, Gregory Burrow said.
The energy and Iran analyst at the Eurasia Group Institute said: Both the United States - which monitors the flow of shipments - and Iran - which follows price developments - have reasons to insist on their positions and refrain from giving concessions. As a result, reaching an agreement seems highly unlikely; However, if either side changes its position, this situation can change quickly.